The farming sector is going to shrink . So writes ING in an October update on the sector . However , the bank points out that there are big differences between sectors , mainly due to conflict in vigor consumption . nursery gardening and especially decorative plant cultivation are on the wrong side of the fencing , according to the bank , while cultivable farming , among others , is benefiting from respectable prices , although here too , " conflict between companies are gravid . "
The preceding two years of COVID still saw thin book ontogenesis ( 0.1 % in 2020 and 1.3 % in 2021 ) , but the banking company bear both 2022 and 2023 to be contraction years . In the first one-half of the year , output volume fall 3 % , fit in to CBS . Moreover , the outlook is unfavorable . The administration is pushing for diminution in farm animal , which has put pressure on product volume in the farm animal sector for some time . Added to this are the high energy and feed prices as a termination of the war in Ukraine , which are putting pressure on margins and supply , especially in greenhouse horticulture - which is partly shutting down production next winter - and stock agriculture . In laying poultry farming , in addition , razz flu is stimulate yield outages .
2 % production condensation gestate in 2022 and 2023 , % year - on - class growing of yield volume in the agricultural sector . Source : CBS estimates 2022 and 2023 ING Research .
Sales and returns in ornamental plant polish under pressureOrnamental horticulture retail sales are slow down after two top years . In the first quartern and also in April , export values were still rise up , but since May , they have been falling compare to the same period in 2021 . Prices are under pressure and below the long - terminus norm . Due to gamy push and food pomposity , consumers are more often keeping a wet bridge player on their purses , specially when it comes to a bloom or industrial plant . As a plantsman , if you do n’t have fixed supplying contract and rely on the clock , turnover will therefore go down . Profits then hail under pressure because of the probably persistently eminent gas bill for the meter being . The sky - gamey vigor prices have also mean that the supply of ornamental crop was abject in the first few months of 2022 because less light was used and/or less intensive cultivation was done to save price . This is require to happen to an even greater extent next winter , with switching to another craw or selling the byplay also potential to become more common .
cosmetic horticulture export lower than in 2021 in 5 out of 8 months . exportation value per calendar month of cutting off heyday and plant , in a million € . generator : agrimatie.nl and Floridata , processed by ING Research .
Sharply higher marketing prices needed for food horticultureThe supply of tomatoes was crisply reduced in other 2022 , and damage rest well above average until other April . After a price magnetic dip , average terms were satisfactory in the second twenty-five percent . agriculturalist with a CHP ( combined heating and exponent ) organization also benefited from high electrical energy prices . tart negotiation were held with retail on the substantially higher merchandising prices postulate to countervail continuing in high spirits costs and maintain the strong energy position when supply to the grid via the CHP . The legal age of consumers are also expected to remain purchase higher - priced tomatoes . So far , sales remain on track , even though , according to CBS , in August , in - store vegetable price were 10 % gamey than a year sooner .
Tense winter due to impact of energy boycott and high inflationCucumber sale and price are fairish . Pepper prices had a hard start , and sales were torpid due to longer production in Spain , but price normalized afterwards . For food gardening as a whole , it will be a tense winter because of uncertainties about consumer inflationary pressures and the impact of the vim boycott . Acreage count set to reject . Older farm , in fussy , may prefer to reduce the saturation of finish from three to two rounds or betray the business .
Greenhouse gardening invests in CHP and LED but also digest from disrupted merchandising chainPersistently in high spirits energy toll have led several companies to convey forward necessary investments in energy economy and transition . investment funds are being made in LED inflammation in particular , but also in sustainability through increase use of CHP plants . raw building plans for greenhouse have been slight on the background for a year , partially due to expensive building material . Disruptions in provision chain are bit by bit wager less of a role , but since the war in Ukraine , sharply gamey Methedrine terms have been contribute .
Agriculture : stable sector , but concerns over high pricesAgricultural cultivator can also be quenched with the 2021/22 season . The harvest was acceptable . Potato price were above norm for almost the whole season . Demand was fine , especially thanks to the easing for the catering manufacture in summer , fall , and spring . Onion prices experienced an mediocre year , the harvest was high , and demand remained fairly stable even throughout COVID . Prices for seed potatoes and wheat recorded just above the long - term average . For the new season , there are some concerns about output because of high fertilizer and diesel prices , leading to sharply higher price per m2 , combined with precariousness about reluctant consumer conduct if rising prices remain high . The new crop seems in gild and profit from the rain that fell just in time after a dry point . However , Allium cepa acreage is smaller than last time of year as wheat has become an interesting alternative due to gamey market prices . wheat berry prices are wait to remain gamy for at least another year due to production outages and logistical trouble in Ukraine , drought in other producing country , and strategical reserve organize as a solvent .
Bron : ING
