The proposed Brexit mass of Prime Minister Theresa May was vote off the table by the British Parliament . One thing has become cleared : uncertainty prevail .
" It ’s complete chaos " , managing director of VGB ( Association of Wholesalers in Horticultural Products in the Netherlands ) , Matthijs Mesken , says . " It would believably be better if the UK delayed Brexit - instead of March 29 . Then the dubiousness will not vanish , but they can buy time . Many people have not prepared for it , and more time also offers the possible action to get everyone in , including the ace that are behind now , as well as the belittled companies . Anyhow , no business deal is n’t good for anyone and will create a really disorderly situation . "
blab with your clientsMeskens particularly worries about the first point . The UK administration has drawn up requirements that goods take to meet in case of a no - mass Brexit . " Your client must register , cheque can be made , conditions must be met . However , last week I spoke to a British wholesaler who supplies to flower store , and when I tell them about this they did not seem to have kick in it any thought , which surprise me . "
When there is a no - mass Brexit , those who are not well inclined can disrupt a draw for those who did prepare . " Our ultimate goal is that if you come to the port wine and have digitally make full in everything correctly , you could enter like a shot . This is what we call the Green Lane or the Fast Lane . One can arrange everything ahead already . However , if the ones who are n’t prepared make a dealings jam , everyone will be affected . "
Uncertainty in the UKIn the UK , uncertainty prevails . “The unidentified is the bounteous job , and it affects us all " , says Michael Dodd ofSunflora , a British importer of flowers . Even though the last Brexit will not have direct import for their company - they mainly import from South America - they remark that the British consumer is more moderate . " January is always a dull month in the flower industry , but we now palpate that it is extra sluggish . multitude are sit down on their money , waitress to get some more certainty . "
The potential decrease in value of the Pound Sterling is Dodd ’s biggest fearfulness . " When it devalue , our blossom will become more expensive . "
Devaluation of the Pound?British heyday importer Adam Porges ofAll Seasons Flowershas seen the weakening economic value of the Pound Sterling as a problem ensue in price increment . The majority of his flowers are imported from South America , and just a small amount from Europe , so exchange rate fluctuation have a big impact on his business . " Since the announcement of the Brexit , we ’ve seen the Pound Sterling decrease in value . It has n’t gone up since then , we can not forward buy much currentness as it remains so weak . Also when the UK die the EU , the Pound might decrease again . "
Regarding the imports from South America , Porges foresees no problem , only when it come to imports and any potential tariffs from Europe they are in the dark . " We can not make any plans as long as we do not sleep together what will happen . "
Even though the Brexit might have negative consequences for these importers , it can also mold in their favor . " When flowers from Europe get more expensive , there will be more demand for our merchandise " , says Dodd . Besides , he believes British wholesaler could profit from a Brexit . " Currently , the florists pay 20 % value-added tax on their flowers bribe from wholesalers and just 6 % over the flower they spell from the Netherlands . When the UK leaves the European Union , the VAT over the Dutch ornamental products will perhaps increase and therefore be less attractive for the florists . "
" We ’re still gazing in a crystal ball"“How are we supposed to recognise what will happen if they do n’t know it themselves ? " John Meijer with Bom Group summarises the situation . Bom Group render high - tech gardening projects worldwide . " We have quite a few full-grown mass coming up in the UK and create pre- and post - Brexit article . That manner we ’re trying to ready . For now it remains uncertain what the futurity will bring , especially for the greenhouses we ’re exporting . "
He continue : " If there will be a trade wind agreement , the UK will be a ' third country ' in terms of exporting . We do business with many exchangeable ' third countries ' and will just have to see what price are needed to import all products . Like all nursery builders , we import theatrical role like steel and aluminum to the UK , as well as deoxyephedrine from inside and outside Europe . get the paperwork done should not be a job . But of course there ’s more to it . We are based in the Hook of Holland and can see the ferries straggle to England from our office . One question what will fall out after the 29th . Traffic jams and waiting for hours for customs duty service , or even having to wait for month to get admittance to a sauceboat ? Those growing will bear upon us directly and will affect our guest , since they ’re active in the product and trade wind of unfermented fruit and vegetable . But it ’s not just us - it ’s the arrant Dutch exportation industry . "
Since Brexit was announced , UK requirement for glasshouse task has risen . " The requirement ca n’t be compared to the volatile increase we see after the Russian boycott , but we do observe how investors and companies see opportunities to increase the local production . Brexit is stimulating that . "
Will it also stimulate local challenger in the greenhouse construction market ? Probably not , John explains . " The Dutch horticultural provider are know worldwide , and our customer relationships have a foresightful account . Since knowledge and proficiency are inseparable in our industry , a local party can step in , but they can not offer the same spirit level of knowledge . The expertise from seed to supermarket is unique for the Dutch supplier and is not to be replace easily . "
All in all , Bom Group will keep following the news but is n’t really accentuate about the Brexit - even though the UK is in their top 10 of exportation land . " It is what you deal with when export . There ’s always something going on somewhere . We ’ve seen it before . Is it unmanageable ? Yes . Will it cost us some ? Yes . But in the end , we ’ll figure it out . "
Beneficials & bumblebees"We’ve talk the various scenarios through , we ’ve analyze the risk - but so far we do n’t know anything yet " , Jan Schuttrups , director with Royal Brinkman International , summarises . " In case of a no - deal scenario , we will have to follow the export rules and that ’s something we can ferment with . We lie with how to export , how to address with the right-hand documentation . Since we operate on worldwide and spell from various countries including the UK , that ’s not the challenge . "
Customs and phytosanitary services are a prominent challenge . " dealings at the border or long waiting prison term might make it more unmanageable for us to spell our products . We will increase local parentage and deliver more from our UK location to cope with this . "
A post - Brexit challenge to the company could be the devaluation of the Pound . " In that case all import intersection will become more expensive . Some horticultural supplies are grow locally , but various agriculturist necessities are imported . If the prices are to rise , they might bet into local alternatives . "
More serious issues could occur in biologic harvest protective covering . Many good louse have to be transported in a conditioned personal manner and delivered within a certain menstruation of time . Additional check and tenacious queue can interrupt this . " Some beneficials have to be delivered within a day , where others can remain uncommitted for a week or so . But in the spoiled case scenario , grower would have to switch back to chemicals . "
Moreover , at the remainder of March - Brexit time - the strawberry are to be pollinated . " you’re able to pollinate tomato plants by hand , but humblebee are necessary in the pollenation of strawberries . Therefore our self-aggrandizing trouble is capability job and long wait times at customs or phytosanitary service . "
And now what?Right after the results came in , opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn submitted a motion of no - self-assurance . This will be debate and vote on today . If PM May survive the vote , she ’ll have three solar day to put forward a raw Brexit proposal . If the PM loses the confidence of Parliament , the governance will founder and raw elections will surveil . Regarding Brexit , there are multiple scenarios : a fresh arrangement with the EU , a 2nd referendum , or a delayed Brexit . Officially , the UK leave the EU on 29 March . That ’s 72 days from today .
